Scolaris Content Display Scolaris Content Display

Increased versus stable doses of inhaled corticosteroids for exacerbations of chronic asthma in adults and children

This is not the most recent version

Collapse all Expand all

Abstract

Background

People with asthma may experience exacerbations or "attacks" during which their symptoms worsen and additional treatment is required. Written action plans may advocate doubling the dose of inhaled steroids in the early stages of an asthma exacerbation to reduce the severity of the attack and to prevent the need for oral steroids or hospital admission.

Objectives

To compare the clinical effectiveness and safety of increased versus stable doses of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) as part of a patient‐initiated action plan for home management of exacerbations in children and adults with persistent asthma.

Search methods

We searched the Cochrane Airways Group Specialised Register, which is derived from searches of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) to March 2016. We handsearched respiratory journals and meeting abstracts.

Selection criteria

We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared increased versus stable doses of ICS for home management of asthma exacerbations. We included studies of children or adults with persistent asthma who were receiving daily maintenance ICS.

Data collection and analysis

Two review authors independently selected trials, assessed quality and extracted data. We contacted authors of RCTs for additional information.

Main results

This review update added three new studies including 419 participants to the review. In total, we identified eight RCTs, most of which were at low risk of bias, involving 1669 participants with mild to moderate asthma. We included three paediatric (n = 422) and five adult (n = 1247) studies; six were parallel‐group trials and two had a cross‐over design. All but one study followed participants for six months to one year. Allowed maintenance doses of ICS varied in adult and paediatric studies, as did use of concomitant medications and doses of ICS initiated during exacerbations. Investigators gave participants a study inhaler containing additional ICS or placebo to be started as part of an action plan for treatment of exacerbations.

The odds of treatment failure, defined as the need for oral corticosteroids, were not significantly reduced among those randomised to increased ICS compared with those taking their usual stable maintenance dose (odds ratio (OR) 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68 to 1.18; participants = 1520; studies = 7). When we analysed only people who actually took their study inhaler for an exacerbation, we found much variation between study results but the evidence did not show a significant benefit of increasing ICS dose (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.30; participants = 766; studies = 7). The odds of having an unscheduled physician visit (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.41; participants = 931; studies = 3) or acute visit (Peto OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.24 to 3.98; participants = 450; studies = 3) were not significantly reduced by an increased versus stable dose of ICS, and evidence was insufficient to permit assessment of impact on the duration of exacerbation; our ability to draw conclusions from these outcomes was limited by the number of studies reporting these events and by the number of events included in the analyses. The odds of serious events (OR 1.69, 95% CI 0.77 to 3.71; participants = 394; studies = 2) and non‐serious events, such as oral irritation, headaches and changes in appetite (OR 2.15, 95% CI 0.68 to 6.73; participants = 142; studies = 2), were neither increased nor decreased significantly by increased versus stable doses of ICS during an exacerbation. Too few studies are available to allow firm conclusions on the basis of subgroup analyses conducted to investigate the impact of age, time to treatment initiation, doses used, smoking history and the fold increase of ICS on the magnitude of effect; yet, effect size appears similar in children and adults.

Authors' conclusions

Current evidence does not support increasing the dose of ICS as part of a self initiated action plan to treat exacerbations in adults and children with mild to moderate asthma. Increased ICS dose is not associated with a statistically significant reduction in the odds of requiring rescue oral corticosteroids for the exacerbation, or of having adverse events, compared with a stable ICS dose. Wide confidence intervals for several outcomes mean we cannot rule out possible benefits of this approach.

PICOs

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

The PICO model is widely used and taught in evidence-based health care as a strategy for formulating questions and search strategies and for characterizing clinical studies or meta-analyses. PICO stands for four different potential components of a clinical question: Patient, Population or Problem; Intervention; Comparison; Outcome.

See more on using PICO in the Cochrane Handbook.

Plain language summary

Increasing the dose of inhaled steroids or continuing the usual dose to treat asthma attacks in adults and children

Background
Previous asthma treatment guidelines recommended doubling the dose of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) at the first sign of an asthma attack as part of an action plan. We looked for all studies that have assessed whether such an increase is better than and is as safe as carrying on with the usual ICS dose.

Study characteristics
This review update added three new studies including 419 participants to the review. We performed the most recent searches in March 2016. In total, we found eight studies involving 1669 people with mild or moderate asthma. Three were conducted in children, and five in adults. These studies provided participants with an inhaler that contained extra doses of ICS (to increase their usual ICS dose) or a placebo that could be used if their symptoms worsened. Participants were then followed for six months to one year to see whether people taking more inhaled corticosteroids during attacks did better than those who took a placebo.

Key results
People taking an increased dose of ICS during an attack did not do better than those who took a placebo, regardless of whether we looked at all study participants or only those who actually took the inhalers during an attack. Results showed a lot of variation in studies that focused only on people who took the inhalers, with some studies showing benefit of increasing ICS dose and others showing no benefit. It is unlikely that increasing ICS dose reduces the need for a course of oral steroids to treat the attack, prevents the need for an emergency visit with doctors or at the hospital or reduces the time it takes to recover. We cannot be sure of these last results because few studies reported them. Use of either strategy was not associated with significantly more or less serious and non‐serious side effects, but again we cannot say for sure because we did not find enough studies.

Quality of the evidence
We have rated results of this review as having moderate or low quality, depending on the outcome. This means that some of the findings were very uncertain, mainly because the studies included very few people who could say definitively whether increasing the dose was better or worse than, or no different from, keeping the dose stable.

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

Evidence does not support increasing the dose of ICS as part of a self initiated action plan to treat exacerbations in adults or children with mild to moderate asthma. Increased ICS dose is not associated with a statistically significant reduction in the odds of requiring rescue oral corticosteroids for the exacerbation, or of having adverse events, compared with maintenance of a stable ICS dose. Wide confidence intervals for several outcomes mean that we cannot rule out possible benefits of this approach.

Implications for research

Additional RCTs comparing increased versus stable ICS doses at the onset of an exacerbation in specific subgroups (children, adolescents, smokers) are needed, along with RCTs comparing various ICS doses in head‐to‐head comparisons by a parallel design. Randomised controlled trials should report detailed subgroup analyses on variables that may affect response to therapy, such as triggers for exacerbation, maintenance ICS doses and achieved ICS doses following step‐up therapy.

Future studies should investigate a step‐up in ICS dose in excess of doubling or above a certain ICS threshold dose because the high‐quality studies identified in this review failed to show clinical benefit with dose doubling. A strategy similar to that of Oborne 2009, with quadrupling of baseline ICS dose during step‐up therapy to an achieved ICS dose in the range of 2000 mcg/d or higher in chlorofluorocarbon‐propelled beclomethasone dipropionate (CFC‐BDP) equivalents, might prove more effective, as previously suggested, among steroid‐naive pre‐school‐aged children given 1500 mcg/d (Ducharme 2009).

Future studies should provide documentation on important outcomes such as the need for rescue oral corticosteroids, unscheduled medical resource use and duration of exacerbation as defined by return of symptoms, lung function and rescue medication use. These studies should also prospectively document the numbers of participants experiencing serious and non‐serious adverse events, objectively document compliance with the treatment regimen using dose counters and clarify the cost‐effectiveness of such a strategy.

Summary of findings

Open in table viewer
Summary of findings for the main comparison.

Increased versus stable doses of inhaled corticosteroids for exacerbations of chronic asthma in adults and children

Patient or population: adults and children with chronic asthma
Setting: outpatient
Intervention: increased ICS dose during exacerbations
Comparison: stable ICS dose during exacerbations

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with stable ICS

Risk with increased ICS

Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (ITT)

45 weeks

179 per 1000

163 per 1000
(129 to 205)

OR 0.89
(0.68 to 1.18)

1520
(7 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEa, i, j

Favours increasing ICS but not statistically significant

Non‐significant subgroup differences for age, ICS dose (baseline or increased) and ICS fold increase

Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (of those starting inhaler)

45 weeks

337 per 1000

299 per 1000
(215 to 398)

OR 0.84, (0.54 to 1.30)

766
(7 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWb,c, i, j

No clear benefit of one strategy over the other. Too imprecise to infer no difference

Analysed using random‐effects models because of heterogeneity

Unscheduled physician visits

44 weeks

147 per 1000

142 per 1000
(102 to 195)

OR 0.96
(0.66 to 1.41)

931
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWd,e, i, j

For both of these outcomes, no clear benefit of one strategy over the other was noted, but the estimate was too imprecise to confirm no differences between them

Unscheduled acute care, ED visit or hospital admission

47 weeks

18 per 1000

18 per 1000
(4 to 67)

OR 0.98
(0.24 to 3.98)

450
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWf, i, j

Duration of exacerbation ‐ time to symptom recovery and lung function recovery

52 weeks

Mean time to symptom recovery was 6.1 days

Time to lung function recovery was 7 days

Time to symptom recovery was 0.7 days longer in the intervention group (1.06 lower to 2.46 higher)

Time to lung function recovery was 0.2 days shorter (1.88 lower to 1.48 higher)

207
(1 RCT)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEb,d, i, j

Serious adverse events

48 weeks

56 per 1000

91 per 1000
(44 to 181)

OR 1.69
(0.77 to 3.71)

394
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEg,h, i, j

Favours stable dose but confidence intervals do not rule out greater safety with increased dose

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; ED: emergency department; ICS: inhaled corticosteroids; ITT: intention‐to‐treat population; OR: odds ratio; RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of effect but may be substantially different
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of effect
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aThe effect was in favour of increasing ICS, but the confidence interval included no effect and the possibility of appreciable benefit of keeping the dose stable (‐1 imprecision)

bUpper and lower confidence intervals include important benefit of both treatments (‐1 imprecision)

cI2 = 55%, P value = 0.04; clear variation was noted between direction and magnitude of study results by visual inspection of the forest plot (‐1 inconsistency)

dSeveral studies did not appear in the analysis, but contact with study authors meant this was unlikely because of selective reporting (no downgrade for publication bias)

eThree studies observed 136 events leading to very wide confidence intervals, which made the result very difficult to interpret (‐2 imprecision)

fOnly eight events in the analysis, leading to a large amount of imprecision in the estimate. Two studies did not observe any events so did not contribute to the effect estimate (‐2 imprecision)

gConfidence intervals included a significant increase in adverse events on increased dose ICS and did not exclude the possibility of no difference against stable ICS. Very few events were included in either of the adverse event analyses (‐1 imprecision)

hOnly two studies explicitly reported serious adverse events separately from the other exacerbation and resource use outcomes (no downgrade for publication bias)

iWe noted some uncertainties regarding allocation concealment and missing data imputation, but only in some studies, and this was not deemed significant enough to have had a serious impact on the results (no downgrade for risk of bias across outcomes)

jAll studies were well matched to the question posed by the review. We resolved uncertainties in the definitions of outcomes through contact with study authors, so we were confident the data were relevant to each outcome of interest (no downgrade for indirectness across outcomes)

Background

Description of the condition

Asthma is a common chronic breathing condition that is estimated to affect as many as 334 million people (Global Asthma Report 2014). Asthma exacerbations involve short‐term worsening of symptoms, which vary from mild to life‐threatening, and are associated with significant morbidity, mortality and healthcare expenditure (Sears 2000). Up to a quarter of patients presenting to the emergency room with asthma exacerbations ultimately require hospitalisation (Pollack 2002), resulting in a three‐fold increase in costs compared with costs of management in a primary care setting (Lane 2006). Asthma exacerbations are very frightening for patients and can have a negative impact on health‐related quality of life (Lloyd 2007). Achieving early control of asthma exacerbations is thus paramount in avoiding hospitalisation and its associated costs, as well as in improving health‐related quality of life.

Description of the intervention

The cornerstone of asthma exacerbations is airway inflammation, often triggered by respiratory virus infection, allergen exposure and/or respiratory irritants (Johnston 2006). This airway inflammation sets up a vicious cycle of bronchial hyper‐responsiveness and mucus hypersecretion, leading to decreased expiratory flow. Although short‐acting beta agonists (SABA) often lead to rapid reversal of airflow obstruction, they do not help the underlying inflammatory changes, so administration of systemic corticosteroids is recommended in patients who have moderate to severe exacerbations and in those who fail to respond promptly to SABA treatment (GINA 2015; NHLBI 2007).

Systemic corticosteroids have potent anti‐inflammatory properties and are the most effective drugs for suppressing the underlying inflammatory response in asthma exacerbations. In comparison with placebo, they result in a faster rate of symptomatic improvement (Fanta 1983), a significant reduction in the number of relapses and decreased beta‐2 agonist use (Rowe 2001) following an acute care hospital visit for acute asthma. However, the well‐recognised adverse effects of repeated short courses of systemic corticosteroids, including hyperglycaemia, psychiatric disturbance, adrenal suppression and occurrence of severe varicella in children, provide the rationale for an alternative management strategy such as use of inhaled corticosteroids (McEvoy 2000). Furthermore, the strategy of utilising short courses of oral prednisone for asthma exacerbations, whether parent‐initiated (Oommen 2003) or administered in the acute care setting (Panickar 2009), has not proved effective in pre‐school‐aged children.

How the intervention might work

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) have an established role in the management of chronic asthma. They are considered the most potent and effective long‐term controller medications for asthma (GINA 2015; NHLBI 2007). Clinical benefits of ICS in the management of acute asthma are less well established because systemic corticosteroids are often relied upon as first‐line therapy. Inhaled corticosteroids offer a theoretical advantage in the acute setting in that they are delivered directly to the airways, thus maximising lung deposition and resulting in higher local potency and potentially faster onset of effect (Rodrigo 2006). A previous study demonstrated lower bronchial eosinophilic inflammation within the first 24 hours in participants randomised to high‐dose inhaled fluticasone compared with oral prednisone (Belda 2007). In a Cochrane review comparing use of high‐dose ICS versus systemic corticosteroids for asthma exacerbations following discharge from the emergency department (ED), review authors found no significant differences in relapse rates, beta‐2 agonist use or adverse events (Edmonds 2003). On the basis of these studies, high‐dose ICS might offer a promising alternative to oral corticosteroids.

Why it is important to do this review

With increasing recognition that early treatment of asthma exacerbations is the best strategy for management, written action plans to guide patient self management of exacerbations are recommended (GINA 2015; NHLBI 2007). Most patients with persistent asthma are regular users of ICS; therefore many action plans based on consensus opinion initially advocated doubling the dose of ICS as one of the first steps in treating or preventing progression of exacerbations of asthma (Boulet 1999; BTS 1997). In the light of lack of evidence to support this recommendation, recent guidelines have been more cautious (BTS/SIGN 2014; GINA 2015; NHLBI 2007). We believe that publication of several clinical trials offers an important opportunity to clarify further the role of this strategy in home management of asthma exacerbations. We prepared this update of the Cochrane review originally published in 2010 (Quon 2010) to bring the evidence on this topic up‐to‐date.

Objectives

To compare the clinical effectiveness and safety of increased versus stable doses of inhaled corticosteroids as part of a patient‐initiated action plan for home management of exacerbations in children and adults with persistent asthma.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) reported as full text, those published as abstract only and unpublished data. We included only double‐blinded placebo‐controlled trials to avoid treatment bias with respect to activation of the asthma action plan and determination of subjective treatment outcomes such as treatment failure necessitating rescue systemic corticosteroids.

Types of participants

We included adults and children with asthma exacerbation as defined by guideline criteria such as those outlined in GINA 2015, or by a set of criteria pre‐defined in the included studies. The diagnosis of asthma was confirmed by a physician before the time of enrolment. Participants had to have taken a stable dose of ICS for a minimum of two weeks before enrolment. We excluded studies involving participants treated with continuous daily oral corticosteroids.  

Types of interventions

We included studies that compared continuing a stable daily maintenance dose versus increasing the daily dose of ICS as part of an asthma exacerbation action plan. Active or placebo step‐up therapy was to be increased at home at or shortly after the onset of symptoms signalling the beginning of an exacerbation. Other co‐interventions such as long‐acting beta agonists, leukotriene modifiers and other asthma medications were permitted, provided that the dose remained unchanged throughout the study. The only exception to this was the allowance of increased short‐acting beta agonist use during exacerbations. Specifically, inhaled short‐acting beta agonists and short courses of systemic corticosteroids were allowed as rescue medications.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • Treatment failure ‐ need for rescue systemic corticosteroids* in all randomised participants (i.e. intention‐to‐treat (ITT) analysis).

Secondary outcomes

  • Treatment failure ‐ need for rescue systemic corticosteroids* in participants using the study inhaler.

  • Unscheduled physician visits.

  • Unscheduled acute care or emergency department visits or need for hospital admission.

  • Serious** and non‐serious adverse events.

  • Duration of exacerbation as defined by:

    • recovery of lung function;

    • recovery of symptoms; or

    • beta‐2 agonist use back to baseline.

*oral, intramuscular (IM) or intravenous (IV).

**Serious adverse events were defined as fatality, need for hospitalisation, prolongation of hospitalisation, disability and study withdrawal due to the adverse event. We noted in the analysis whether definitions used within these studies differed.

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

We have detailed search methods used in the previous version of this review in Appendix 1. The previously published version included searches up to October 2009. The search period for this update extended from October 2009 to March 2016.

For this update, we identified trials from the Cochrane Airways Group Specialised Register (CAGR), which is maintained by the Information Specialist for the Group. The Register contains trial reports identified through systematic searches of bibliographic databases including the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), the Allied and Complementary Medicine Database (AMED) and PsycINFO, and by handsearching of respiratory journals and meeting abstracts (please see Appendix 2 for further details). We searched all records in the CAGR using the search strategy presented in Appendix 3.

We also conducted a search of ClinicalTrials.gov (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov) and the World Health Organization (WHO) trials portal (http://www.who.int/ictrp/en/) for ongoing and unpublished trials. We searched all databases from their inception to the present, with no restriction on language of publication. We conducted the latest search in March 2016.

Searching other resources

We updated additional searches of trial registries and grey literature databases to identify articles that might not have appeared in the main electronic database searches. We searched pharmaceutical company clinical trial registries (AstraZeneca and GlaxoSmithKline) and grey literature databases (Open System for Information on Grey Literature in Europe (OpenSIGLE) and the New York Academy of Medicine). Historical searches for previous versions of this review included http://www.controlled‐trials.com and http://www.clinicalstudyresults.org, which we covered in the new WHO trials portal and ClinicalTrials.gov searches. We also checked reference lists of retrieved articles and reviews and asked field experts if they knew of any relevant ongoing or unpublished trials.

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

Two review authors (MQ and KK for 2015 update, previously BSQ and NS) independently screened titles and abstracts for inclusion of all potential studies identified as a result of the search and coded them as 'retrieve' (eligible or potentially eligible/unclear) or 'do not retrieve'. We retrieved full‐text study reports/publications, and two review authors (MQ and KK for 2015 update, previously BSQ and NS) independently screened the full‐text studies for inclusion, and identified and recorded reasons for exclusion of ineligible studies. We resolved disagreements through discussion or, if required, by consulting a third person (BSQ). We identified and excluded duplicates and collated multiple reports of the same study, so that each study rather than each report was the unit of interest in the review. We recorded the selection process in sufficient detail to complete a PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta‐Analyses) flow diagram for Cochrane systematic review updates (Stovold 2014) and Characteristics of excluded studies tables.

Data extraction and management

We used a data collection form for study characteristics and outcome data, which had been piloted on at least one study in the review. Two review authors (MQ and KK for 2015 update, previously BSQ and NS) extracted the following study characteristics from included studies.

  • Methods: study design, total duration of study, details of any 'run‐in' period, number of study centres and locations, study setting, withdrawals and date of study.

  • Participants: N, mean age, age range, gender, severity of condition, diagnostic criteria, baseline lung function, smoking history, inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria.

  • Interventions: intervention, comparison, concomitant medications and excluded medications.

  • Outcomes: primary and secondary outcomes specified and collected, and time points reported.

  • Notes: funding for trial, and notable conflicts of interest for trial authors.

Two review authors (MQ and KK for 2015 update, previously BSQ and NS) independently extracted outcome data from included studies. We noted in the Characteristics of included studies table if outcome data were not reported in a useable way. We resolved disagreements by reaching consensus or by involving a third person (BSQ). One review author (KK) transferred data into the Review Manager (RevMan 2014) file. We double‐checked that data were entered correctly by comparing data presented in the systematic review with those provided in the study reports.

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Two review authors (MQ and KK for 2015 update, previously BSQ and NS) independently assessed risk of bias for each study using the criteria outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011). We resolved disagreements by discussion or by consultation with another review author (BSQ). We assessed risk of bias according to the following domains.

  • Random sequence generation.

  • Allocation concealment.

  • Blinding of participants and personnel.

  • Blinding of outcome assessment.

  • Incomplete outcome data.

  • Selective outcome reporting.

  • Other bias.

We graded each potential source of bias as high, low or unclear and provided a quote from the study report, together with a justification for our judgement, in the 'Risk of bias' table. We summarised risk of bias judgements across different studies for each of the domains listed. We considered blinding separately for different key outcomes when necessary (e.g. for an unblinded outcome assessment, risk of bias for all‐cause mortality may be very different than for a patient‐reported pain scale). When information on risk of bias was related to unpublished data or correspondence with a trialist, we noted this in the 'Risk of bias' table.

When considering treatment effects, we took into account the risk of bias for studies that contributed to those outcomes.

Assesment of bias in conducting the systematic review

We conducted the review according to the published protocol and reported deviations from it in the Differences between protocol and review section of the systematic review. We brought some sections of the methods up‐to‐date for the most recent version of the review.

Measures of treatment effect

We analysed dichotomous data as odds ratios (ORs), and continuous data as mean differences (MDs) or standardised mean differences (SMDs). We entered data presented as a scale with a consistent direction of effect.

We undertook meta‐analyses only when this was meaningful (i.e. when treatments, participants and the underlying clinical question were similar enough for pooling to make sense).

We narratively described skewed data reported as medians and interquartile ranges.

When multiple trial arms were reported in a single trial, we included only the relevant arms. If two comparisons (e.g. drug A vs placebo and drug B vs placebo) were combined in the same meta‐analysis, we halved the control group to avoid double‐counting.

Unit of analysis issues

We pooled the results of parallel and cross‐over studies when we were satisfied that data could be appropriately analysed to account for intercorrelation in cross‐over studies. We analysed data using participants with one or more events as the unit of analysis. For dichotomous outcomes, when we did not know whether the number of events applied to the entire population or only to those taking the study inhaler, we used the total number randomised per group as the denominator. We performed sensitivity analyses by using the number of participants using their study inhaler at least once as the denominator to test this assumption.

If no events were reported in control or treatment groups, we used the Peto odds ratio to avoid use of the continuity correction.

Dealing with missing data

We contacted investigators or study sponsors to verify key study characteristics and to obtain missing numerical outcome data when possible (e.g. when a study was identified as abstract only). When this was not possible, and when missing data were thought to introduce serious bias, we explored the impact of including such studies in the overall assessment of results by performing a sensitivity analysis.

Assessment of heterogeneity

We examined homogeneity of effect sizes between pooled studies with the I2 statistic (Higgins 2003). In the absence of heterogeneity (I2 < 25%), we used the fixed‐effect model (Greenland 1985); otherwise we applied summary estimates and reported the DerSimonian and Laird random‐effects model (DerSimonian 1986). Unless otherwise specified, we reported the fixed‐effect model, as it is better equipped than the random‐effects method to detect small effect sizes (Fields 2001).

Assessment of reporting biases

We were not able to pool more than 10 trials; therefore we did not create a funnel plot to explore possible small study and publication biases. 

Data synthesis

For dichotomous outcomes, we pooled parallel studies using Mantel‐Haenszel (M‐H) ORs unless few events were reported, thus requiring Peto odds ratios. We obtained ORs from cross‐over studies by comparing the number of participants who needed oral corticosteroids with increased dose (but not with placebo) versus those who needed oral corticosteroids while taking placebo (but not while taking increased ICS dose). We presented ORs with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For continuous outcomes, such as length of exacerbation, we calculated pooled statistics as MDs and reported them with 95% CIs.

Summary of findings table

We created a 'Summary of findings' table using the following outcomes: rescue systemic corticosteroids (ITT analysis), treatment failure as judged by the need for rescue systemic corticosteroids in participants requiring the study inhaler (modified ITT analysis), unscheduled physician visits, unscheduled acute care or ED visits or hospital admissions, duration of exacerbations and serious adverse events. We used the five GRADE (Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation Working Group) considerations (study limitations, consistency of effect, imprecision, indirectness and publication bias) to assess the quality of a body of evidence as it relates to studies that contributed data to meta‐analyses for pre‐specified outcomes. We used methods and recommendations described in Section 8.5 and Chapter 12 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011) per GRADEpro software. We justified all decisions to downgrade or upgrade the quality of studies by using footnotes, and we made comments to aid readers' understanding of the review when necessary.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

We planned the following a priori subgroup analyses of the primary outcome to identify potential effect modifiers, irrespective of the presence or absence of heterogeneity.

  • Age group (children < 15 years old vs adults ≥ 15 years old).

  • Smoking status (smokers vs ex‐smokers or never‐smokers).

  • Time elapsed before initiation of treatment (< 48 hours vs ≥ 48 hours).

  • Maintenance ICS dose (ex‐valve) before increase (low vs moderate vs high*).

  • Achieved daily dose of ICS (ex‐valve) during exacerbation (low vs moderate vs high*).

  • Fold increase in baseline ICS dose during exacerbation (double dose vs quadruple dose).

In the previous version, subgroup analyses were repeated post hoc for the secondary outcome of treatment failures only within those who started the study inhaler. In this version, we conducted subgroup analyses only on the primary outcome alone.

*ICS dose was classified according to Global Initiative for Asthma Guidelines (GINA 2015) as follows.

  • High dose ‐ adults: > 1000 mcg/d of chlorofluorocarbon‐propelled beclomethasone dipropionate (CFC‐BDP) dose or equivalent. Children: > 400 mcg/d equivalent CFC‐BDP dose.

  • Moderate dose ‐ adults: > 500 mcg to 1000 mcg/d CFC‐BDP equivalent. Children: > 200 mcg to 400 mcg/d CFC‐BDP equivalent.

  • Low dose ‐ adults: 200 mcg to 500 mcg/d CFC‐BDP equivalent. Children: 100 mcg to 200 mcg/d CFC‐BDP equivalent.

Fluticasone propionate was converted to CFC beclomethasone dipropionate (CFC‐BDP) equivalents by multiplying the ex‐valve dose by two because its reported potency in asthmatic patients is two‐fold relative to CFC‐BDP (Barnes 1993). Budesonide was converted to CFC‐BDP equivalents by multiplying the ex‐valve dose by 1.25, as reported in the Canadian Asthma Guidelines (Lemiere 2003).

Sensitivity analysis

We planned the following sensitivity analyses for the primary outcome.

  • Study design (removing cross‐over studies).

  • Methodological quality (removing studies at high risk of selection bias).

  • Source of study funding (removing studies funded by pharmaceutical companies).

Results

Description of studies

Results of the search

The main electronic database update search for October 2009 to March 2016 returned 436 records. We searched 699 additional records found in other resources (365 from AstraZeneca, 164 from GlaxoSmithKline, 143 from clinicaltrials.gov, 24 from the WHO trials portal, one from the New York Academy of Medicine, one from OpenSIGLE and one from study reference lists). We screened all 1135 records and excluded 1119 by looking at the titles and abstracts alone. We reviewed the full texts for 16 records and excluded 13 that did not meet the inclusion criteria. We included three new studies that met the criteria for this review. For the previous version of this review, which covered up to October 2009, review authors screened the titles and abstracts of 882 records, assessed full texts for 39 that were potentially relevant and included five trials that met the inclusion criteria. Together with the three new studies, a total of eight studies met the inclusion criteria for this review. Results of the update search are shown in Figure 1, along with the number of studies brought forward from the previous version (Stovold 2014).


Study flow diagram.

Study flow diagram.

Included studies

This review update added three new studies including 419 participants to the review. In total, eight studies met the eligibility criteria: five adult (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000; Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009; Rice‐McDonald 2005) and three paediatric studies (Garrett 1998; Martinez 2011; Wainwright 2009). All were published as full‐text papers with the exception of Wainwright 2009, for which study details and results were provided by the lead investigator. The eight studies randomised a total of 1669 participants to the comparison of interest for this review. Of all randomised participants, 58.5% had an exacerbation that led to use of the study inhaler. Four of the eight studies were multi‐centre and four were single‐centre studies. Three were conducted in Australasia, three in Europe and two in North America. The mean number of people randomised to treatment groups relevant to this review was 208 (range 22 to 403).

All included trials compared the efficacy of an increased dose of ICS at the onset of an exacerbation versus placebo as part of an asthma action plan. All other medications, mainly rescue short‐acting beta agonist inhalers, were kept equal between treatment and placebo groups and are noted in individual study characteristics tables.

Details of the countries and centres in which trials were conducted, sample sizes and the percentage with exacerbations in each trial, study treatments, durations and funding are shown in Table 1.

Open in table viewer
Table 1. Summary of study characteristics

Study ID

N randomised*

N (%) who took study inhaler

Country (N centres)

Design

Age range

Maintenance ICS

Exacerbation inhaler

Funding

Asthma severity

Fitzgerald 2004

290

98 (34)

Canada (4)

6‐month parallel, DB, PC

13+

Budesonide 100, 200 or 400 mcg BID

(mean 635 mcg/d BDP)

Budesonide 100, 200 or 400 mcg to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

AstraZeneca

FEV1 2.8 L, PEFR 423 L/min, ICS < 1200 mcg/d

Foresi 2000

142

36 (25)

Italy (14)

6‐month parallel, DB, PC

18‐65

Budesonide 100 mcg BID

Budesonide 200 mcg QID to double usual dose

Control: placebo

Astra Farmaceutici

FEV1 74%, PEFR 75%, 41% on LABA, ICS < 1000 mcg/d

Garrett 1998

28

18 (64)

New Zealand (1)

6‐month cross‐over, DB, PC

6‐14

Beclomethasone < 800 mcg/d

Matching beclomethasone to double dose

Control: placebo

New Zealand Asthma Society

FEV1 99%, PEFR 100%, ICS < 800 mcg/d

Harrison 2004

390

207 (53)

UK (1)

1‐year parallel, DB, PC

16+

Usual ICS dose

(mean 710 mcg/d BDP)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

NHS Executive

FEV1 2.4 L/80%, PEF 384 L/min, 35% on LABA, ICS 100–2000 mcg/d

Martinez 2011

143

143 (100)

USA (5)

44‐week parallel, DB, PC

6‐18

Beclomethasone 40 mcg BID

Beclomethasone 40 mcg BID to double dose

Control: placebo

NHLBI

5% on LABA, recent admission or OCS, max 160 mcg bec/d

Oborne 2009

403

94 (23)

UK (1)

1‐year parallel, DB, PC

16+

Usual ICS dose

(mean 520 mcg/d BDP)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma UK

FEV1 2.2 L/82%, PEF 380 L/min, ICS 200‐1000 mcg/d, recent OCS

Rice‐McDonald 2005

22

18 (82)

Australia (1)

Cross‐over until exacerbation in each phase

18+

Usual fluticasone dose (range not specified)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma Foundation of Queensland

Excluded mild asthma

Wainwright 2009

251

187 (75)

Australia (8)

1‐year parallel, PC

3‐14

Fluticasone 125 mcg/d, or usual higher dose

Matching fluticasone to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma Foundation of Queensland

Recent ED, OCS or admission; fluticasone at least 125 mcg/d

DB = double‐blind, NHLBI = National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, PC = placebo‐controlled, UK = United Kingdom, USA = United States of America. Asthma severity statistics are mean values for the total population in each study. Percentages are means of lung function measured as a percentage of participants' predicted values

* The number randomised to the groups relevant to this review

We describe hereafter the characteristics of studies that contributed data to one or more outcomes in the review. For a full study description of each eligible study, see Characteristics of included studies.

Characteristics of studies
Run‐in

All eight studies included a run‐in period from two weeks to three months, mainly to ensure asthma stability. Three adult studies recruited participants who required low to moderate maintenance doses at baseline, ranging from a mean of 520 mcg/d to 710 mcg/d of CFC‐BDP equivalent (Fitzgerald 2004; Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009). The two other adult studies (Foresi 2000; Garrett 1998) and the three paediatric studies did not report the mean maintenance ICS dose at baseline. In all studies except Foresi 2000, participants continued their usual maintenance dose during the run‐in period. Foresi 2000 required a temporary increase in ICS dose to 1600 mcg/d for four weeks during run‐in, with reduction back to 200 mcg/d after randomisation.

Study design

Six of the eight studies had parallel‐group designs comparing people who were given a placebo inhaler or an active inhaler to increase their ICS dose during exacerbations. Garrett 1998 was a cross‐over design whereby children were randomised to one of two possible treatment sequences for serial exacerbations: placebo then corticosteroid, or corticosteroid then placebo. Rice‐McDonald 2005 also used a cross‐over design with three treatment phases, one of which was not relevant to this review (oral steroid rescue). For this study, we used results from the paper showing the number of people who needed oral steroids in one, neither or both of the two relevant phases, and analysed them to account for correlation.

Study duration

Duration of follow‐up for exacerbations post randomisation was six months for three studies (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000; Garrett 1998), 44 weeks for one study (Martinez 2011) and 12 months for three studies (Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009; Wainwright 2009). The duration in Rice‐McDonald 2005 was unclear, although investigators stated that the endpoint for each treatment was assessed seven days after the three‐week treatment pack if no treatment failure, or at time of treatment failure in the event of failure.

Characteristics of participants
Age

Four of the five adult studies recruited people from age 16 or 18 years of age onwards, and Fitzgerald 2004 also included adolescents from the age of 13 years. Mean participant age in the adult studies ranged from 32 to 56 (median 46.5) years. The age range in the paediatric studies ranged from six to 14 years (Garrett 1998), from six to 18 years (Martinez 2011) and from three to 14 years (Wainwright 2009). Mean participant ages were 8.2 and 11.2 years in Garrett 1998 and Martinez 2011, respectively, and we calculated a rough mean age from that categorised in Wainwright 2009 as 7.6 years.

Gender

All studies included both male and female participants. All adult studies included more women than men (median percentage male 33%, range 28% to 47%), and all paediatric studies recruited more boys than girls (median percentage male 60%, range 57% to 67%).

Smoking status

Four of the eight trials reported the smoking status of study participants. Never‐smokers made up most of the study samples (61% to 86%), with ex‐smokers making up between 14% and 36%, and active smokers 10% or less of the samples. Rice‐McDonald 2005 and the three paediatric studies did not report smoking status.

Severity

Baseline asthma severity was explicitly stated in just two studies and was reported as mild to moderate in Garrett 1998 and moderate in Foresi 2000. The remainder of studies reported baseline asthma severity as lung function measurements during the stable run‐in period, or informally by minimum medication requirements, which are summarised in the final column of Table 1. The average severity of airway obstruction was mild (forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) > 80%) in Harrison 2004 and Oborne 2009. Fitzgerald 2004 reported a mean baseline FEV1 of 2.8 L and a peak expiratory flow rate (PEFR) of 423 L/min, also falling within the mild severity category. Two paediatric studies ‐ Rice‐McDonald 2005 and Wainwright 2009 ‐ required children to have had a recent admission or course of oral steroids for an asthma exacerbation. Rice‐McDonald 2005 excluded people with mild asthma.

Treatment format
Study treatment details

In all eight studies, participants were required to be taking a stable dose of ICS at randomisation, with the dose of ICS increased at the onset of an asthma exacerbation, compared with placebo. In all studies, this was achieved with a study inhaler to be taken alongside the maintenance inhaler that contained additional ICS or placebo, administered at home by participants themselves, or with the aid of a parent or carer for younger children. The dose was increased five‐fold in Foresi 2000 and four‐fold in Oborne 2009 and was doubled in the remaining six studies (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998; Harrison 2004; Martinez 2011; Rice‐McDonald 2005; Wainwright 2009). The mean ICS dose achieved during exacerbations ranged from 1000 mcg/d to 2075 mcg/d in CFC‐BDP equivalents in the adult studies (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000; Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009) and from 160 to 500 mcg/d in the paediatric studies (Martinez 2011; Wainwright 2009). Mean dose achieved was not reported in the paediatric study of Garrett 1998, although the maximum dose achieved was 1600 mcg/d. Studies used metered dose or dry powder inhalers, but within studies the treatment or placebo inhaler provided for use during exacerbation was identical to the maintenance corticosteroid inhaler. Moreover, the additional use of a spacer was reported in Garrett 1998 and Wainwright 2009. Inhaled corticosteroid dose was increased for a pre‐defined period of 14 days in Fitzgerald 2000, Harrison 2004 and Rice‐McDonald 2005. In Garrett 1998, it was increased for just three days, in Foresi 2000 for seven days and in Oborne 2009 for just seven days if PEFR had returned to baseline by then, but was continued for 14 days if PEFR had not returned to baseline by day seven. In Martinez 2011, Oborne 2009 and Wainwright 2009, the course of increased ICS dose varied depending on how long it took for symptoms to return to baseline.

Action plan activation

Criteria for an asthma exacerbation that prompted initiation of the study inhaler were pre‐defined in all studies on the basis of a combination of PEFR worsening, increase in asthma symptoms and/or an increase in rescue bronchodilator use relative to run‐in values. In all eight studies, participant measurements or observations obtained alone or with confirmation from a study physician were required for activation of the asthma action plan at the onset of an asthma exacerbation. Participants were required to measure PEFR, to record asthma symptoms and/or to monitor rescue bronchodilator use continuously, or if they believed that their asthma control was deteriorating. One study used a PEFR cut‐off of < 85% of baseline in the criteria of an exacerbation (Harrison 2004), four studies used a cut‐off of PEFR < 80% (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998; Martinez 2011; Rice‐McDonald 2005) and one study used a cut‐off of < 70% (Foresi 2000). Oborne 2009 used a variable PEFR cut‐off of < 85% of baseline on two consecutive days, or < 70% of baseline on a single day, and Wainwright 2009 did not define a cut‐off. All studies incorporated an increase in asthma symptoms into the criteria of an exacerbation. Three studies incorporated an increase in rescue bronchodilator use among the criteria of an exacerbation (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998; Rice‐McDonald 2005). All studies provided clear criteria for asthma action plan activation. The minimum time elapsed between onset of asthma deterioration and initiation of increased ICS dose (as recommended by the action plan) varied from immediate use of the study inhaler as a rescue treatment (Martinez 2011; Wainwright 2009) to 24 hours after symptoms worsened (Garrett 1998; Harrison 2004; Rice‐McDonald 2005) to 48 hours (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000). For Oborne 2009, elapsed time varied from 24 hours to 48 hours, depending on how much PEFR had dropped from baseline.

Concomitant treatment

In all included studies, baseline co‐interventions for asthma were continued, provided that the dose remained unchanged throughout the study period. Four studies permitted the use of long‐acting beta agonists (LABA), and two studies explicitly stated that patients requiring LABA before study entry were excluded (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998). Martinez 2011 and Wainwright 2009 did not report whether any of the recruited participants were currently taking LABA. Martinez 2011 did report that a small number had taken LABA in the previous year (6% and 4%), and reported usage rates in Harrison 2004 and Oborne 2009 of about 40% in control and treatment groups. One study (Fitzgerald 2004) reported on inclusion of participants requiring oral theophylline at baseline, although usage rates were low at less than 4%, and another study reported on inclusion of participants requiring regular ipratropium at baseline (Fitzgerald 2004). Rice‐McDonald 2005 allowed concomitant use of LABA, theophylline or leukotriene receptor antagonists but did not report the number of participants taking them at baseline. Baseline nasal ICS use was reported in Fitzgerald 2004, with usage rates of 25% and 26% for control and treatment groups, respectively.

Treatment follow‐up

After the action plan was initiated, study investigators provided variable follow‐up periods. In Garrett 1998, participants were visited within the first three days at home and then were seen within one week in the clinic. Fitzgerald 2004 reported post‐treatment surveillance for a period of three months to monitor asthma control and to ensure no late differences between treatment and placebo groups. Wainwright 2009 conducted three‐monthly routine check‐ups, contacted participants two weeks after each exacerbation and took final measurements after 12 months. In Rice‐McDonald 2005, a cross‐over study, participants were contacted fortnightly by a research nurse and were reviewed by a study investigator every eight weeks. Martinez 2011 reviewed participants every four to eight weeks over the 44‐week study period, regardless of exacerbations. Medical follow‐up after the exacerbation was not described in Foresi 2000, Harrison 2004 and Oborne 2009.

Action plan compliance

Four studies monitored compliance with symptom recording and/or study treatment (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000; Garrett 1998; Rice‐McDonald 2005). Investigators evaluated complianceby reviewing self reported symptom diaries, self reported medication diaries and PEFR recordings and by counting tablets from returned treatment packs. Self reported study treatment compliance was high in three studies, ranging from a mean of 86% in Garrett 1998 to 93% in Fitzgerald 2004, and was not reported in Rice‐McDonald 2005.

Upfront oral corticosteroid use

Participants were required to start oral corticosteroids upfront at the onset of an asthma exacerbation if PEFR was measured at less than 60% in four studies (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998; Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009) and 50% in one study (Foresi 2000).

Outcome reporting

The primary outcome for this review ‐ the need for rescue systemic corticosteroids ‐ was reported in all studies except Foresi 2000. Generally participants were withdrawn from use of the study inhaler and were started on rescue oral corticosteroids if they failed to respond adequately to an increase in ICS dose, or if their PEFR dropped to below a pre‐defined safety cut‐off (usually 60%). Treatment failure was defined by deterioration or lack of improvement in pulmonary function and/or symptoms. Rescue oral corticosteroids were participant‐initiated if PEFR fell below a pre‐defined threshold of 60% at any point during the treatment period, or after discussion with a study physician based on symptom frequency and PEFR measurements. Harrison 2004 and Oborne 2009 required rescue oral corticosteroid use if participants' asthma control deteriorated to the point that they would usually start oral corticosteroids.

Pre‐defined secondary outcomes were reported less consistently across studies, with no more than three studies included in any of the secondary analyses.

Excluded studies

Reasons for exclusion of 39 studies, including those excluded in the previous version and those excluded in the current update, are documented in the Characteristics of excluded studies section. Of 13 records related to nine studies excluded in this update, the most common reasons for exclusion after viewing of full texts were that ICS were not being given to treat an exacerbation of asthma (N = 6) and no arm was receiving stable ICS (N = 4). Two records were related to a study that was already included in the previous version of this review (Oborne 2009), and one described an ongoing study (NCT02066129). Of the 34 records related to 30 excluded from the previous version of this review, reasons for exclusion included that trials were not placebo‐controlled (N = 15), did not recruit people with asthma (N = 1), did not test ICS to treat an exacerbation (N = 4) and did not recruit people taking maintenance ICS (N = 13). One remaining study that was listed as excluded in the previous version of this review was moved from excluded to included in this update (Rice‐McDonald 2005). The reason for exclusion was that available data did not allow for analysis and study authors could not be contacted for clarification; we were able to rectify this in the current version.

Risk of bias in included studies

We have presented in Figure 2 an overview of the risk of bias in individual studies.. In general, all trials were of high methodological quality and had low risk of bias.


Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study

Allocation

Five of the eight studies gave sufficient detail regarding random sequence generation to be considered at low risk of bias, stating that computer‐generated codes or random number tables were used (Fitzgerald 2004; Harrison 2004; Martinez 2011; Oborne 2009; Wainwright 2009). We did not have sufficient information from the remaining three studies, which were rated as having unclear risk.

For concealment of the allocation, we considered all except Foresi 2000 to be at low risk of bias because details given suggested that randomisation was done through a central system or by an independent pharmacist not otherwise involved in the study.

Blinding

Seven studies explicitly stated their double‐blind design and masking procedures and therefore were at low risk of bias. Wainwright 2009 was not described as double‐blind, but investigators described matching placebo inhalers, which implies that blinding procedures were used; hence we also considered this study to be at low risk of bias.

Incomplete outcome data

We considered five studies to be at low risk of bias as the result of incomplete data. Withdrawal rates in Fitzgerald 2004, Martinez 2011 and Oborne 2009 ranged between 11% and 22% across groups, but rates were fairly balanced within studies and appropriate imputation was used to adhere to the ITT principle. Dropout was not given per group in Foresi 2000, but overall dropout was low (10.6%) and the ITT analysis included 98% of those randomised. Garrett 1998 was rated as having low risk because, although several participants were not included in their analyses, this occurred because of their cross‐over design and as a result of their plan to include only participants who had exacerbations in both study phases.

Harrison 2004 was rated as having unclear risk because, although around 10% dropped out of each group, which is a relatively low and balanced dropout rate, investigators did not make clear whether they had used the protocol or ITT analyses. We rated Rice‐McDonald 2005 as having high risk of bias because 13 of the 35 people randomised (37%) dropped out and were not included in the analysis.

Selective reporting

We were satisfied that no selective outcome reporting had occurred in seven included studies, either because stated outcomes were well defined and reported in the published papers after study authors provided additional data upon request, or because we were able to confirm with study authors that the outcomes we were interested in had not been measured. We rated none of the studies as having high risk of bias and only one as having unclear risk for these reasons.

Other potential sources of bias

The cross‐over study by Garrett 1998 did not state the time lapse between treatments and did not comment on any possible carry‐over effect. If the effective intervention is followed closely by placebo, the therapeutic effect could be carried over into the placebo period, thereby minimising any possible differences between placebo and treatment.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings for the main comparison

Primary outcome

Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (ITT analysis)

People randomised to an increased ICS dose during an exacerbation were not significantly less likely to require rescue oral corticosteroids compared with those assigned to placebo (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.18; participants = 1520; seven studies; I2 = 0%; Analysis 1.1). Just under 60% of randomised participants actually required use of the study inhaler (mean 58.5%, range 23% to 100%). The estimate slightly favoured increased ICS dose, but confidence intervals did not rule out the possibility that keeping the dose stable was better, so we downgraded the evidence once for imprecision and rated the study as having moderate quality.

Subgroup analysis

When the primary outcome was used with all randomised participants as the analysis denominator, five out of six subgroup analyses had sufficient data for analysis. Findings of tests for subgroup differences in age (Analysis 2.1), time to treatment initiation (Analysis 2.2), maintenance ICS dose (Analysis 2.3) and exacerbation ICS dose (Analysis 2.4) were all non‐significant. Garrett 1998 could not be included in maintenance or achieved ICS dose subgroups because of the large dose range, which included no details about average doses on which to base a categorisation. The estimate favoured an ICS increase more if the dose was quadrupled rather than doubled, but only one study quadrupled the dose, and the difference between dose subgroups was not statistically significant (I2 = 47, P value = 0.17). We could not examine the impact of smoking status on the odds of requiring oral corticosteroids during an exacerbation because all studies recruited non‐smokers or ex‐smokers.

Sensitivity analysis
Study design

Removing the two cross‐over studies (Garrett 1998 and Rice‐McDonald 2005) from the primary analysis had very little effect on direction, size or precision of the estimate size for the primary outcome (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.16; Analysis 2.6).

Methodological quality

The two cross‐over studies were the only studies with uncertainties regarding risk of selection bias, so the result was the same as for the study design sensitivity analysis above.

Source of study funding

Three studies were funded by pharmaceutical companies involved in the sales of ICS (Fitzgerald 2004; Foresi 2000; Garrett 1998). Fitzgerald 2004 and Garrett 1998 contributed data to the primary outcome. Their exclusion slightly increased the size of the effect in favour of increasing ICS dose and the precision of the estimate, but it did not alter the conclusions drawn (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.12).

Publication bias

Studies were too few for review authors to determine whether publication bias was present or to identify a systematic difference between smaller and larger studies via funnel plot analysis.

Secondary outcomes

Asthma exacerbations requiring rescue systemic corticosteroids (modified ITT analysis)

We included the same seven studies in this outcome (Fitzgerald 2004; Garrett 1998; Harrison 2004; Martinez 2011; Oborne 2009; Rice‐McDonald 2005; Wainwright 2009), when looking at the effect of doubling ICS in participants who took their study inhaler rather than all those randomised. In two studies, all randomised participants took their study inhaler, so the data were the same as those entered for the primary outcome. The analysis included 766 people who had exacerbations meeting the study criteria rather than all 1520 randomised to the studies. Significant inconsistency between study results also contributed to imprecision in the estimate, meaning that the evidence was considered of low quality. The pooled estimate did not suggest that participants randomised to increase their ICS dose were less likely to require rescue systemic corticosteroids compared with those assigned to placebo (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.30; participants = 766; seven studies); I2 = 42%; random‐effects method; Analysis 1.2).

We did not perform subgroup and sensitivity analyses on this outcome as was done in the previous version of the review, as these analyses were not originally planned in the protocol.

Unscheduled physician visits

Three parallel‐group studies measured this outcome and showed no significant differences in the odds between groups (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.41; participants = 931; three studies; I2 = 0%; Analysis 1.3). Harrison 2004 and Wainwright 2009 reported unscheduled visits only for people who took their study inhaler, but we used the total number randomised as the denominator. We performed a post hoc sensitivity analysis using only those taking the study inhaler as the denominator for these two studies, and our conclusions did not change (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.59 to 1.35). The width of the confidence intervals made it very difficult to determine where the true effect may lie, so we downgraded the evidence twice for imprecision and rated the studies as low quality.

Unscheduled acute care or emergency department visits or need for hospital admission

Three studies collected data on unscheduled acute care or emergency department visits, but only one paediatric study observed any events (Wainwright 2009). We could not draw a meaningful conclusion because the study estimate was based on only four visits in either group (Peto OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.24 to 3.98; participants = 450; three studies), and we downgraded the evidence to low for this imprecision. It made very little difference when only the number taking the study inhaler was used as the denominator (Peto OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.25 to 4.15; participants = 386; three studies).

Duration of exacerbation

Three studies reported data on the duration of exacerbation following initiation of study inhaler, as defined by the time required for PEFR to return to baseline values (Garrett 1998; Harrison 2004; Oborne 2009). However, group mean and standard deviation values were available only for Harrison 2004 and show no benefit for recovery time with increased ICS (Analysis 1.5).

Two studies provided data on the duration of exacerbation following initiation of study inhaler, as defined by time required for symptoms to return to baseline values (Fitzgerald 2004; Harrison 2004). Again, only mean and standard deviation values were reported (Harrison 2004), and results show no benefit of increased ICS when this definition was used (also in Analysis 1.5).

Imprecision in both estimates made it difficult for review authors to be certain of the true effect, so we downgraded both once for imprecision and rated the studies as moderate quality.

No studies reported data for the duration of exacerbations defined as reduction in beta2 agonist use back to baseline requirements.

Serious and non‐serious adverse events

Participants assigned to an increased ICS dose following onset of an asthma exacerbation did not have significantly more serious adverse events (OR 1.69, 95% CI 0.77 to 3.71; participants = 394; two studies). Serious adverse events in Martinez 2011 included bronchitis in the increased dose group and viral meningitis in the stable daily dose group. We classified study‐defined serious adverse events in Wainwright 2009 as follows, some of which might not generally be considered serious adverse events: upper respiratory tract infection/otitis media/croup (six in double‐dose group), ear/nose/throat surgery (one in usual dose group, three in double‐dose group), fracture (one in usual dose group), other orthopaedic events (one in each group), chest infection/pneumonia (four in each group), other (three in usual dose group, two in double‐dose group) and death (one in double‐dose group). The only serious adverse events, which were reported in Rice‐McDonald 2005, were noted in the oral steroid rescue group, which was not included in this review.

Taking increased ICS did not significantly increase the odds of having any non‐serious adverse event (OR 2.15, 95% CI 0.68 to 6.73; participants = 142; two studies) compared with keeping the dose stable. We have summarised specific non‐serious adverse events narratively because they were reported inconsistently across studies. Three studies reporting lists of specific side effects generally showed low occurrence (one or two people) in either group (Foresi 2000; Oborne 2009; Rice‐McDonald 2005). The odds of occurrence of specific adverse effects including oral irritation, headaches, psychiatric disturbance, gastrointestinal discomfort, dysphonia and change in appetite were not significantly higher in the increased ICS versus stable dose groups. Results of Rice‐McDonald 2005 must be interpreted with caution because of the study's cross‐over design and the oral steroid treatment phase, which was not included in this review.

Adverse events were not reported in detail in Fitzgerald 2004, but the participant flow diagram showed that one person in the double‐dose group and three in the stable dose group dropped out because of unspecified adverse events, none of whom had exacerbations requiring the need for the study inhaler. Garrett 1998 and Harrison 2004 provided minimal information regarding adverse events, although Garrett 1998 stated that no child was hospitalised during the study (for asthma or for other reasons).

In addition to the data on serious adverse events, the Martinez 2011 paediatric study reported linear growth but not specifically for the two groups compared in this review.

Discussion

Summary of main results

This review update added to the review three new studies including 419 participants. In total we identified eight randomised controlled trials (RCTs), most of which were at low risk of bias involving 1669 participants with mild to moderate asthma. We identified three paediatric (n = 422) and five adult (n = 1247) studies; six were parallel‐group trials, and two had a cross‐over design; all but one study followed participants for six months to one year. Allowed maintenance doses of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) varied in adult and paediatric studies, as did use of concomitant medications and achieved ICS doses initiated during exacerbations. Investigators gave participants a study inhaler containing additional ICS or placebo to be started as part of an action plan to treat exacerbations.

Available evidence suggests that an increased ICS dose was not associated with a statistically significant difference in the odds of needing rescue oral corticosteroids or in other effectiveness outcomes compared with a continued stable dose of ICS. Subgroup analyses of the primary outcome based on age (children vs adults), time elapsing before treatment initiation (< 48 hours vs ≥ 48 hours), baseline ICS dose and magnitude of the dose increase (doubling vs quadrupling) showed no significant differences between subgroups. The modified intention‐to‐treat analysis, with the denominator restricted to participants who used the study inhaler for at least one exacerbation to mimic an efficacy study, still failed to demonstrate any overall benefit. The post hoc subgroup analysis performed on the modified intention‐to‐treat analysis of the primary outcome suggested but did not confirm greater benefit with quadrupling over doubling the ICS dose, as no head‐to‐head comparison of different ICS dose fold increase and no dose increase were associated with a statistically significant reduction in odds. As the subgroup analysis was based on the magnitude of dose increase (doubling or quadrupling) rather than on absolute dose increase or absolute dose achieved, it remains unclear whether magnitude of dose increase or absolute dose increase/achieved would have greater impact, if any, on apparent benefit. Whilst the apparent benefit could be explained by the absence of a significant reduction in odds, under‐powering of the primary analysis due to inclusion of participants who never used the study drug, known limitations of subgroup analyses (particularly post hoc) and multiple statistical testing require care in interpretation of this finding (Wang 2007). The comparative benefit of ICS dose‐doubling versus quadrupling would be best examined by a head‐to‐head comparison in a large RCT.

Confidence intervals around the primary outcome estimate for the seven studies were wide; therefore one cannot exclude a possible reduction or increase by about 30% in the odds of requiring rescue oral corticosteroids associated with increased ICS dosing. For secondary outcomes, the ICS dose increase did not significantly reduce the frequency of unscheduled physician visits or unscheduled acute care visits or hospital admissions, although the effect estimates were imprecise. Studies were insufficient for aggregation of data on other secondary outcomes, including duration of asthma exacerbation as defined by return of lung function, symptoms or rescue bronchodilator use back to baseline.

Participants allocated to an increased ICS dose during exacerbations did not experience a statistically significant increase in the odds of serious and overall or specific non‐serious side effects, namely, headaches, dysphonia, pharyngitis, glossitis, oral candidiasis, change in appetite, upper respiratory tract infection, psychiatric disturbance (depression, anxiety) and gastrointestinal symptoms (nausea and abdominal discomfort). Moreover, with the exception of linear growth (Martinez 2011), prospective data on specific adverse events were not collected, likely leading to under‐reporting of adverse events. No studies reported data on the number of people experiencing hyperglycaemia, adrenal dysfunction or pneumonia.

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

To our knowledge, this is the update of the only systematic review and meta‐analysis in the literature examining the safety and effectiveness of increasing versus maintaining the same ICS dose at the onset of an asthma exacerbation as part of a patient‐initiated action plan. Since this review was first published, the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) Guidelines have been updated and no longer recommend temporary doubling of the ICS dose (GINA 2015). Our results contrast with those of a pre‐school trial demonstrating that risk of the need for rescue systemic corticosteroids was reduced by half when high‐dose fluticasone versus placebo was used as a pre‐emptive strategy in children with viral‐induced asthma, although none of these young children were using daily ICS (Ducharme 2009).

Lack of overall benefit from an increased ICS dose strategy demonstrated in this systematic review might be explained in several ways. First, regular use of ICS in asthma has proved very effective in preventing exacerbations and specifically reducing the need for rescue oral corticosteroids (Adams 1999): Daily ICS may indeed be the most effective preventive strategy with minimal additional benefit of pre‐emptive increased ICS dose during exacerbations. For example, just one‐half of participants randomised in the included studies required step‐up therapy with the study inhaler. This low exacerbation rate in turn may have led to possible under‐powering of data to detect a significant difference in odds between groups, if present. Second, the small number of studies contributing data to this outcome led to wide confidence intervals for most outcomes, attesting to the lack of power to conclude firmly on the absence of beneficial effect. Third, despite low heterogeneity between studies on the main outcome, participant, treatment or design characteristics could have influenced the magnitude of effect, which could not be adequately explored because of the small number of studies. Finally, although self reported compliance with the action plan protocol and study inhaler was high (86% in Garrett 1998, 100% in Fitzgerald 2004), actual compliance was not measured and may have been lower. Indeed, in a previous study looking at asthma action plan compliance in a family practice setting, less than 40% properly implemented their action plan (Turner 1998). In other words, included studies were primarily effectiveness trials; consequently absence of effect may be due to non‐efficacy or to poor or delayed implementation of the intervention, which was documented only by participant reports rather than as an objective measure of adherence.

With regards to applicability of the findings, most data were derived from non‐smoking adults with mild to moderate asthma who were taking low to moderate stable doses of ICS at baseline, in addition to other asthma therapy. Study results may not apply to children and adolescents, as just two included studies involved children (Garrett 1998; Wainwright 2009) and one accepted an unspecified number of adolescents.

Quality of the evidence

According to the GRADE (Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation Working Group) method, our confidence in the evidence across outcomes was moderate or low, meaning that true effects may be substantially different from pooled estimates. The most common limitation across outcomes was lack of precision, which was a result of the small number of identified studies and observed events. None of the outcomes were thought to be compromised by risk of bias within studies; although some uncertainties regarding allocation concealment and missing data imputation were evident in some studies, review authors did not deem this significant enough to have had a serious impact on the results. Similarly, although we noted that several trials did not contribute to secondary outcomes, contact with study authors confirmed that this was unlikely to be due to publication bias. We did not downgrade any of the outcomes because of indirectness of study populations, interventions or outcomes for the review question. At least two review authors made study inclusion decisions to ensure that studies were relevant to the review, and resolved with study authors any uncertainties in the definitions of outcomes.

Our confidence in the primary outcome was reduced from high to moderate because the confidence interval around the null effect did not exclude the possibility of appreciable benefit of either option. This imprecision affected our confidence both when the need for oral steroids was assessed as a proportion of the total intention‐to‐treat population, and when assessment was limited to those starting their study inhaler. However, statistical heterogeneity in the latter analysis was much higher, so our confidence in this analysis was low.

Within secondary outcomes, our confidence in the effect of increasing ICS dose on unscheduled physician visits and unscheduled acute visits was low, and was reduced substantially by the numbers of studies and events included in the analyses. We also judged the effect of increasing ICS dose on duration of exacerbation and serious and non‐serious adverse events as low because of imprecision of the estimates.

Potential biases in the review process

The main strength of this review is its low opportunity for bias. Although one cannot firmly rule out publication bias, our systematic search of published trials and unpublished reports was undertaken with a high likelihood of identifying all relevant studies, thus minimising this type of bias. Indeed, we found no abstracts whose results were not published afterwards. The rigorous eligibility criteria requiring double‐blinding resulted in the inclusion of generally high‐quality trials, further strengthening the validity of our findings.

This systematic review had a few limitations that could have introduced bias. Inherent to the cross‐over design of included studies, individual participants experienced multiple exacerbations/treatments within the same study. Potential non‐independence of events due to inadequate wash‐out may have resulted in undue influence on study results in one direction or another. To obviate to the issue of non‐independence, all analyses were performed per participant, not per event. Second, the limited response of study authors or sponsors to requests for providing data contributed to lack of precision for our primary outcome.

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

We have identified no other non‐Cochrane reviews addressing the efficacy of increasing the dose of inhaled corticosteroids at the onset of an asthma exacerbation as part of a patient‐initiated action plan. This is an update of a Cochrane review first published in 2010 (Quon 2010). We included in this review three additional studies (Martinez 2011; Rice‐McDonald 2005; Wainwright 2009) with an additional 419 participants, but overall study findings and conclusions are consistent with those of our prior review.

Study flow diagram.
Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study
Figures and Tables -
Figure 2

Methodological quality summary: review authors' judgements about each methodological quality item for each included study

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 1 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (primary outcome, all randomised participants).
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 1 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (primary outcome, all randomised participants).

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 2 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (of those starting inhaler).
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 2 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (of those starting inhaler).

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 3 Unscheduled physician visits.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 3 Unscheduled physician visits.

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 4 Unscheduled acute care, ED visit or hospital admission.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 4 Unscheduled acute care, ED visit or hospital admission.

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 5 Duration of exacerbation.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 5 Duration of exacerbation.

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 6 Serious and non‐serious adverse events.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1 Increased versus stable doses of ICS, Outcome 6 Serious and non‐serious adverse events.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 1 Subgrouped by age.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.1

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 1 Subgrouped by age.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 2 Subgrouped by time to treatment initiation.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.2

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 2 Subgrouped by time to treatment initiation.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 3 Subgrouped by maintenance ICS dose.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.3

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 3 Subgrouped by maintenance ICS dose.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 4 Subgrouped by ICS dose during exacerbation.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.4

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 4 Subgrouped by ICS dose during exacerbation.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 5 Subgrouped by ICS fold increase.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.5

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 5 Subgrouped by ICS fold increase.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 6 Sensitivity analysis: parallel‐group studies only.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.6

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 6 Sensitivity analysis: parallel‐group studies only.

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 7 Sensitivity analysis: independently funded studies only.
Figures and Tables -
Analysis 2.7

Comparison 2 Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses, Outcome 7 Sensitivity analysis: independently funded studies only.

Increased versus stable doses of inhaled corticosteroids for exacerbations of chronic asthma in adults and children

Patient or population: adults and children with chronic asthma
Setting: outpatient
Intervention: increased ICS dose during exacerbations
Comparison: stable ICS dose during exacerbations

Outcomes

Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

Number of participants
(studies)

Quality of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Risk with stable ICS

Risk with increased ICS

Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (ITT)

45 weeks

179 per 1000

163 per 1000
(129 to 205)

OR 0.89
(0.68 to 1.18)

1520
(7 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEa, i, j

Favours increasing ICS but not statistically significant

Non‐significant subgroup differences for age, ICS dose (baseline or increased) and ICS fold increase

Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (of those starting inhaler)

45 weeks

337 per 1000

299 per 1000
(215 to 398)

OR 0.84, (0.54 to 1.30)

766
(7 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWb,c, i, j

No clear benefit of one strategy over the other. Too imprecise to infer no difference

Analysed using random‐effects models because of heterogeneity

Unscheduled physician visits

44 weeks

147 per 1000

142 per 1000
(102 to 195)

OR 0.96
(0.66 to 1.41)

931
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWd,e, i, j

For both of these outcomes, no clear benefit of one strategy over the other was noted, but the estimate was too imprecise to confirm no differences between them

Unscheduled acute care, ED visit or hospital admission

47 weeks

18 per 1000

18 per 1000
(4 to 67)

OR 0.98
(0.24 to 3.98)

450
(3 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
LOWf, i, j

Duration of exacerbation ‐ time to symptom recovery and lung function recovery

52 weeks

Mean time to symptom recovery was 6.1 days

Time to lung function recovery was 7 days

Time to symptom recovery was 0.7 days longer in the intervention group (1.06 lower to 2.46 higher)

Time to lung function recovery was 0.2 days shorter (1.88 lower to 1.48 higher)

207
(1 RCT)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEb,d, i, j

Serious adverse events

48 weeks

56 per 1000

91 per 1000
(44 to 181)

OR 1.69
(0.77 to 3.71)

394
(2 RCTs)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
MODERATEg,h, i, j

Favours stable dose but confidence intervals do not rule out greater safety with increased dose

*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI)
CI: confidence interval; ED: emergency department; ICS: inhaled corticosteroids; ITT: intention‐to‐treat population; OR: odds ratio; RR: risk ratio

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High quality: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to the estimate of effect
Moderate quality: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of effect but may be substantially different
Low quality: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of effect
Very low quality: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect

aThe effect was in favour of increasing ICS, but the confidence interval included no effect and the possibility of appreciable benefit of keeping the dose stable (‐1 imprecision)

bUpper and lower confidence intervals include important benefit of both treatments (‐1 imprecision)

cI2 = 55%, P value = 0.04; clear variation was noted between direction and magnitude of study results by visual inspection of the forest plot (‐1 inconsistency)

dSeveral studies did not appear in the analysis, but contact with study authors meant this was unlikely because of selective reporting (no downgrade for publication bias)

eThree studies observed 136 events leading to very wide confidence intervals, which made the result very difficult to interpret (‐2 imprecision)

fOnly eight events in the analysis, leading to a large amount of imprecision in the estimate. Two studies did not observe any events so did not contribute to the effect estimate (‐2 imprecision)

gConfidence intervals included a significant increase in adverse events on increased dose ICS and did not exclude the possibility of no difference against stable ICS. Very few events were included in either of the adverse event analyses (‐1 imprecision)

hOnly two studies explicitly reported serious adverse events separately from the other exacerbation and resource use outcomes (no downgrade for publication bias)

iWe noted some uncertainties regarding allocation concealment and missing data imputation, but only in some studies, and this was not deemed significant enough to have had a serious impact on the results (no downgrade for risk of bias across outcomes)

jAll studies were well matched to the question posed by the review. We resolved uncertainties in the definitions of outcomes through contact with study authors, so we were confident the data were relevant to each outcome of interest (no downgrade for indirectness across outcomes)

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Summary of study characteristics

Study ID

N randomised*

N (%) who took study inhaler

Country (N centres)

Design

Age range

Maintenance ICS

Exacerbation inhaler

Funding

Asthma severity

Fitzgerald 2004

290

98 (34)

Canada (4)

6‐month parallel, DB, PC

13+

Budesonide 100, 200 or 400 mcg BID

(mean 635 mcg/d BDP)

Budesonide 100, 200 or 400 mcg to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

AstraZeneca

FEV1 2.8 L, PEFR 423 L/min, ICS < 1200 mcg/d

Foresi 2000

142

36 (25)

Italy (14)

6‐month parallel, DB, PC

18‐65

Budesonide 100 mcg BID

Budesonide 200 mcg QID to double usual dose

Control: placebo

Astra Farmaceutici

FEV1 74%, PEFR 75%, 41% on LABA, ICS < 1000 mcg/d

Garrett 1998

28

18 (64)

New Zealand (1)

6‐month cross‐over, DB, PC

6‐14

Beclomethasone < 800 mcg/d

Matching beclomethasone to double dose

Control: placebo

New Zealand Asthma Society

FEV1 99%, PEFR 100%, ICS < 800 mcg/d

Harrison 2004

390

207 (53)

UK (1)

1‐year parallel, DB, PC

16+

Usual ICS dose

(mean 710 mcg/d BDP)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

NHS Executive

FEV1 2.4 L/80%, PEF 384 L/min, 35% on LABA, ICS 100–2000 mcg/d

Martinez 2011

143

143 (100)

USA (5)

44‐week parallel, DB, PC

6‐18

Beclomethasone 40 mcg BID

Beclomethasone 40 mcg BID to double dose

Control: placebo

NHLBI

5% on LABA, recent admission or OCS, max 160 mcg bec/d

Oborne 2009

403

94 (23)

UK (1)

1‐year parallel, DB, PC

16+

Usual ICS dose

(mean 520 mcg/d BDP)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma UK

FEV1 2.2 L/82%, PEF 380 L/min, ICS 200‐1000 mcg/d, recent OCS

Rice‐McDonald 2005

22

18 (82)

Australia (1)

Cross‐over until exacerbation in each phase

18+

Usual fluticasone dose (range not specified)

Matching ICS inhaler to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma Foundation of Queensland

Excluded mild asthma

Wainwright 2009

251

187 (75)

Australia (8)

1‐year parallel, PC

3‐14

Fluticasone 125 mcg/d, or usual higher dose

Matching fluticasone to double dose for 14 days

Control: placebo

Asthma Foundation of Queensland

Recent ED, OCS or admission; fluticasone at least 125 mcg/d

DB = double‐blind, NHLBI = National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, PC = placebo‐controlled, UK = United Kingdom, USA = United States of America. Asthma severity statistics are mean values for the total population in each study. Percentages are means of lung function measured as a percentage of participants' predicted values

* The number randomised to the groups relevant to this review

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Summary of study characteristics
Comparison 1. Increased versus stable doses of ICS

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (primary outcome, all randomised participants) Show forest plot

7

1520

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.68, 1.18]

2 Treatment failure ‐ need for systemic corticosteroids (of those starting inhaler) Show forest plot

7

766

Odds Ratio (Random, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.54, 1.30]

3 Unscheduled physician visits Show forest plot

3

931

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.96 [0.66, 1.41]

4 Unscheduled acute care, ED visit or hospital admission Show forest plot

3

450

Peto Odds Ratio (Peto, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.24, 3.98]

5 Duration of exacerbation Show forest plot

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

Totals not selected

5.1 days to symptom recovery

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

5.2 days to lung function recovery

1

Mean Difference (IV, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.0 [0.0, 0.0]

6 Serious and non‐serious adverse events Show forest plot

4

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

Subtotals only

6.1 Serious adverse events

2

394

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

1.69 [0.77, 3.71]

6.2 Non‐serious adverse events

2

142

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

2.15 [0.68, 6.73]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 1. Increased versus stable doses of ICS
Comparison 2. Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1 Subgrouped by age Show forest plot

7

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.68, 1.18]

1.1 Children

3

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.61, 1.41]

1.2 Adults

4

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.60, 1.26]

2 Subgrouped by time to treatment initiation Show forest plot

7

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.68, 1.18]

2.1 < 48 hours

4

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.92 [0.66, 1.28]

2.2 ≥ 48 hours

3

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.51, 1.39]

3 Subgrouped by maintenance ICS dose Show forest plot

6

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.67, 1.16]

3.1 Low

1

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.17 [0.57, 2.40]

3.2 Medium

3

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.78 [0.52, 1.18]

3.3 High

2

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.91 [0.58, 1.42]

4 Subgrouped by ICS dose during exacerbation Show forest plot

6

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.67, 1.16]

4.1 Low

1

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

1.17 [0.57, 2.40]

4.2 High

5

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.62, 1.13]

5 Subgrouped by ICS fold increase Show forest plot

7

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.68, 1.18]

5.1 Double dose

6

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.98 [0.72, 1.34]

5.2 Quadruple dose

1

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.60 [0.32, 1.13]

6 Sensitivity analysis: parallel‐group studies only Show forest plot

5

1474

Odds Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.87 [0.66, 1.16]

7 Sensitivity analysis: independently funded studies only Show forest plot

5

Odds Ratio (Fixed, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.62, 1.12]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 2. Primary outcome subgroup and sensitivity analyses