Skip to main content
Log in

Steep increase of incidence of childhood diabetes since 1999 in Austria. Time trend analysis 1979–2005. A nationwide study

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
European Journal of Pediatrics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In a prospective population-based incidence study all newly diagnosed type 1 diabetic patients 0–<15 years of age were registered by the Austrian Diabetes Incidence Study Group. The nationwide incidence of type 1 diabetes between 2000–2005 was compared with the previously published incidence rates. Long-term trends as well as seasonal trends were estimated by Poisson regression models. A total of 3,599 incident cases (1,908 boys; 1,691 girls) were identified. Case ascertainment was >92%. The overall incidence rate doubled from 7.3 (95% CI; 6.8–7.9)/100,000 in the period 1979–84 to 14.6 (95% CI, 13.7–15.4)/100,000 in the time period 2000–2005. A significant increase during the observation period of 26 years could be demonstrated in all age groups and both sexes (p<0.01), with the steepest increment during the last 5 years. Until 1994 the incidence rate in children 0–<5 years was rather stable, but afterwards increased dramatically with 9.2% (95% CI, 5.2–13.4) annually. Despite this steep increase in time trend, we did not observe a seasonal variation in this age group (0–<5) in contrast to significant seasonal variations in the groups 5–<10 and 10–<15 years of age. Over the past 26 years incidence of type 1 diabetes in childhood increased clearly in Austria. The steepest rise was observed in the last 5 years and in the younger age groups.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Cinek O, Sumnik Z, Vavrinec J (2005) Childhood diabetes in the Czech Republic: a steady increase in incidence. Cas Lek Cesk 144:266–272

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  2. Dahlquist G, Bennich SS, Kallen B (1996) Intrauterine growth pattern and risk of childhood onset insulin dependent diabetes: population based case-control study. Br Med J 313:1174–1177

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  3. DeStefano F, Mullooly JP, Okoro CA, Chen RT, Marcy SM, Ward JI, Vadheim CM, Black StB, Shinefield HR, Davis RL, Bohlke K(2001) Childhood vaccinations, vaccination timing, and risk of type 1 diabetes mellitus. Pediatrics 108:e 112

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. EURODIAB ACE Study Group (2000) Variation and trends in incidence of childhood diabetes in Europe. The Lancet 355:873–876

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Eurodiab Substudy 2 StudyGroup (2000) Infections and vaccinations as risk factors for childhood Type 1 (insulin dependent) diabetes mellitus: a multicentre case-control investigation. Diabetologia 43:47–53

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Eurodiab Substudy 2 Study Group, Dahlquist G, Patterson Ch, Soltesz G (1999) Perinatal risk factors for childhood type 1 diabetes in Europe. Diabetes Care 22:1698–1702

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. Feltbower RG, Mc Kinney PA, Parslow RC, Stephenson CR, Bodansky HJ (2003) Type 1 diabetes in Yorkshire, UK: timetrends in 0–14 and 15–29 year olds, age at onset and age-period-cohort modelling. Diabet Med 20:437–441

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Graves PM, Barriga KJ, Norris JM (1999) Lack of association between early childhood immunizations and beta-cell autoimmunity. Diabetes Care 22:1694–1697

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. Gyürüs E, Green A, Patterson Ch, Soltesz G, The Hungarian Childhood Diabetes Epidemiology Study Group (2002) Dynamic changes in the trends in incidence of type 1 diabetes in childhood in Hungary. Ped Diabetes 3:194–199

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Haynes A, Bower C, Bulsara Mk, Jones TW, Davis EA (2004) Continued increase in the incidence of childhood Type 1 diabetes in a population-based Australian sample (1985–2002). Diabetologia 47:866–870

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. Joinpoint regression program version 3.0, http://srab.cancer.gov/joinpoint/

  12. Jones RH, Ford PM, Hamman RF (1988) Seasonality comparisons among groups using incidence data. Biometrics 44:1131–1144

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. Karvonen M, Viik-Kajander M, Moltchanova E, Libman I, La Porte R, Tuomilehto J, Diamond Project Group (2000) Incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes worldwide. Diabetes Care 23:1516–1526

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  14. Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ, Midthune DN (2000) Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Stat Med 19:335–351

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  15. Kondrashova A, Reunanen A, Romanov A, Karvonen A, Viskari H, Vesikari T, Ilonen J, Knip M, Hyöty H (2005) A six-fold gradient in the incidence of type 1 diabetes at the eastern border of Finland. Ann Med 37:67–72

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Legault L, Polychronakos C (2006) Annual Incidence of type 1 diabetes in Quebec between 1989–2000 in children. Clin Invest Med 29:10–13

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  17. Mauny F, Grandmottet M, Lestradet C, Guitard J, Crenn N, Floret N, Olivier-Koehret M, Viel JF (2005) Health consequences of chernobyl fallout in Franche-Comte study group. Increasing trend of childhood type 1 diabetes in Franche-Comte (France): analysis of age and period effects from 1980–1998. Europ J Epidemiology 20:325–329

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  18. Newhook LA, Curtis J, Hagerty D, Grant M, Paterson AD, Crummel C, Bridger T, Parfrey P (2004) High incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in the Avalon Peninsula, Newfoundland, Canada. Diabetes Care 27:885–888

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  19. Norris JM, Barriga K, Klingensmith G, Hoffman M, Eisenbarth GS, Erlich HA, Rewers M (2003) Timing of initial cereal exposure in infancy and risk of islet autoimmunity. JAMA 290:1713–1720

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  20. Rami B, Schneider U, Imhof A, Waldhör T, Schober E (1999) Risk factors for type 1 diabetes mellitus in children in Austria. Eur J Ped 158:362–366

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  21. SAS. SAS/STAT User’s guide, Version 9, Cary, NC 27513: SAS Institute Inc., 2002–2003

  22. Schober E, Schneider U, Waldhör Th, Tuomilehto J, Austrian Childhood Diabetes Epidemiology Study Group (1995) Increasing incidence of IDDM in Austrian children-a nationwide study. Diabetes Care 18:1280–1283

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  23. Stene LC, Magnus P, Lie RT, Sovik O, Joner G, The Norwegian Childhood Diabetes Study Group (2001) Maternal and paternal age at delivery, birth order, and risk of childhood onset type 1 diabetes:population based cohort study. BMJ 323:1–4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Stene LC, Magnus P, Lie RT, Sovik O, Joner G, The Norwegian Childhood Diabetes Study Group (2001) Birth weight and childhood onset type 1 diabetes: population-based cohort study. Br Med J 322:889–892

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Svensson J, Carstensen B, Molbak AG, Christau B, Mortensen HB, Nerup J, Borch-Johnson K, The Danish Study Group of Diabetes in Childhood (2002) Increased risk of childhood type 1 diabetes in children born after 1985. Diabetes Care 25:2197–2201

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. Svensson J, Carstensen B, Mortensen HB, Borch-Johnsen K, The Danish Study Group of Diabetes in Childhood (2005) Early childhood risk factors associated with type 1 diabetes-is gender important? Eur J Epidemiol 20:429–434

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  27. Taplin CE, Craig ME, Lloyd M, Taylor C, Crock P, Silink M, Howard NJ (2005) The rising incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in New South Wales, 1990–2002. MJA 183:243–246

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  28. Tuomilehto J, Karvonen M, Pitkäniemi J, Virtala E, Kohtamäki K, Toivanen L, Tuomilehto-Wolf E (1999) Record-high incidence of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in Finnish children. Diabetologia 42:655–660

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  29. The EURODIAB Substudy 2 Study Group (2002) Rapid early growth is associated with increased risk of childhood type 1 diabetes in various European populations. Diabetes Care 25:1755–1760

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Virtanen SM, Kenward MG, Erkkola M, Kautianen S, Kronberg-Kippilä C, Hakulinen T, Ahonen L, Uusitalo S, Niinistö R, Veijola R, Simell O, Ilonen J, Knip M (2006) Age at introduction of new foods and advanced beta cell autoimmunity in young children with HLA-conferred susceptibility to type 1 diabetes. Diabetologia 49:1512–1521

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  31. Waldhör T, Haidinger G, Vutuc C (1997) Development of birth weight in Austria from 1970–1995. Wien Klin Wochenschr 109:804–807

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  32. Waldhör T, Schober E, Karimian-Theherani D, Rami B, The Austrian Diabetes Incidence Study Group (2000) Regional differences and temporal incidence trend of type I diabetes mellitus in Austria from 1989 to 1999: a nationwide study. Diabetologia 43:1449–1450

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  33. Wahlberg J, Vaarala O, Ludvigsson J, ABIS Study Group (2006) Dietary risk factors for the emergence of type 1 diabetes-related autoantibodies in 2 1/2 old Swedish children. B J Nutr 95:603–608

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  34. Wahlberg J, Fredriksson J, Vaarala O, Ludvigsson J, The ABIS Study Group (2003) Vaccinations may induce diabetes-related autoantibodies in one-year-old children. N Y Acad Sci 1005:404–408

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  35. Weets I, De Leeuw IH, Du Caju MVL, Rooman R, Keymeulen B, Mathieu Ch, Rottiers R, Daubresse JC, Rocour-Brumioul D, Pipeleers DG, Gorus FK, The Belgian Diabetes Registry (2002) The incidence of type 1 diabetes in the age group 0–39 years has not increased in Antwerp (Belgium) between 1989 and 2000. Diabetes Care 25:840–846

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  36. Ziegler AG, Schmid S, Huber D, Hummel M, Bonifacio E (2003) Early infant feeding and risk of developing type 1 diabetes associated autoantibodies. JAMA 290:1721–1728

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Members of the Austrian Diabetes Incidence Study Group:

Arocker W., Bauer M., Baumgartner F., Bali C., Borkenstein M., Bittmann B., Dorninger L., Fussenegger J., Jäger A., Fink M., Fröhlich-Reiterer E., Guttenberger KH, Gruber A., Häckel F., Heijbl L., Höller H., Hofer S., Holzleitner Ch., Jahn Ch., Judtmaier S., Jürgenssen OA, Kersak J., Kovacs U., Kitzler P., Kovacic R., Kurnik P., Kuthan G., Lindauer E., Meszaros F., Mühleder J., Müller G., Müllner M., Paier R., Polland V.,Prchla C., Püschel B., Rittinger O., Salzer H., Schermann P., Schlager J., Schmitt K. Schneider U., Scholtze M., Schorn Ch., Sickel E., Walser I, Wakolbinger G., Zieglauer H.

This study has in part been supported by Novo Nordisk Austria.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Consortia

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Edith Schober.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Schober, E., Rami, B., Waldhoer, T. et al. Steep increase of incidence of childhood diabetes since 1999 in Austria. Time trend analysis 1979–2005. A nationwide study. Eur J Pediatr 167, 293–297 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00431-007-0480-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00431-007-0480-5

Keywords

Navigation