Abstract
During the past three decades, the social/natural environment and lifestyle of people in China have undergone a marked transformation to westernization. However, age-standardized cancer rates have not been determined to any great extent in China. In this study, we tracked the cancer incidence between 1981 and 2000 in Tianjin, to identify the changes in incidence associated with social and economic changes. Cancer incidence data were collected by the Tianjin Cancer Registry. Sex, age, and organ site-specific incidence trends were analyzed by the “join-point regression” method. Overall crude cancer incidence increased, but the age-standardized incidence slightly decreased during the study period. The incidence of lung cancer increased between 1981 and 1996 but decreased between 1996 and 2000. The incidences of uterine, esophageal, stomach, and liver cancers decreased. However, the incidences of colorectal, pancreatic, breast, ovarian, and prostate cancers all increased during the study period. There was an aging-related increase in the overall crude cancer incidence and an alteration in the distribution of cancer types in Tianjin. The incidences of cancer types that are more prevalent in developed countries appeared to increase in China, whereas the incidences of cancer types that are more prevalent in developing countries appeared to decline.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Twombly R (2005) Cancer surpasses heart disease as leading cause of death for all but the very elderly. J Natl Cancer Inst 97:330–331
Parkin DM, Bray F, Ferlay J et al (2005) Global cancer statistics, 2002. CA Cancer J Clin 55:74–108
Parkin DM (2001) Global cancer statistics in the year 2000. Lancet Oncol 2:533–543
Kanavos P (2006) The rising burden of cancer in the developing world. Ann Oncol Suppl 8:15–23
Brennan P (2002) Gene–environment interaction and aetiology of cancer: what does it mean and how can we measure it? Carcinogenesis 23:381–387
Thun M, Henley S, Calle E (2001) Tobacco use and cancer: an epidemiologic perspective for geneticists. Oncogene 21:7307–7325
Notani PN (2001) Global variation in cancer incidence and mortality. Current Science 81:10
Parkin DM (2004) International variation. Oncogene 38:329–340
Ferlay J, Bray F, Parkin DM et al (2001) Cancer incidence and mortality Worldwide, Globocan 2000. Lyon: IARC
Lowenfels A, Maisonneuve P (2002) Epidemiologic and etiologic factors of pancreatic cancer. Hematol Oncol Clin N 16:1–16
Giovannucci E, Goldin B (1997) The role of fat. Fatty acids, and total energy intake in the etiology of human colon cancer. Am J Clin Nutr 66:S1564–S1571
Franceschi S, Bidoli E, Herrero R et al (2000) Comparison of cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx worldwide: etiological clues. Oral Oncol 36:106–115
Muir C, Waterhouse J, Mack T et al (1987) Cancer incidence in five continents vol. V. Lyon: IARC
Parkin DM, Whelan SL, Ferlay J et al (1990) Cancer incidence in five continents vol.VI. Lyon: IARC
Parkin DM, Whelan SL, Ferlay J et al (1997) Cancer incidence in five continents vol. VII. Lyon: IARC
Parkin DM, Whelan SL, Ferlay J et al (2002) Cancer incidence in five continents vol. VIII. Lyon: IARC
World Health Organisation (1992) International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems, tenth revision ICD-10. Geneva: WHO
Kim HJ, Fay MP, Feuer EJ et al (2000) Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with application to cancer rates. Stat Med 19:335–351
Joinpoint Regression Program, Version 3.0 (2005) In: Statistical research and applications branch national cancer institute. Bethesda, USA
Chen JG, Zhu J, Parkin DM et al (2006) Trends in the incidence of cancer in Qidong, China, 1978–2002. Int J Cancer 6:1447–1454
Jin F, Devesa SS, Chow WH et al (1999) Cancer incidence trends in urban Shanghai, 1972–1994: an update. Int J Cancer 4:435–440
Remontet L, Estève J, Bouvier AM et al (2003) Cancer incidence and mortality in France over the period 1978–2000. Rev Epidemiol Sante 51:3–30
Edwards BK, Brown ML, Wingo PA et al (2005) Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, 1975–2002, featuring population-based trends in cancer treatment. J Natl Cancer I 19:1407–1427
Stracci F, Canosa A, Minelli L et al (2007) Cancer mortality trends in the Umbria region of Italy 1978–2004: a joinpoint regression analysis. BMC Cancer 7:10–18
Crocetti E, Capocaccia R, Casella C et al (2004) Population-based incidence and mortality cancer trends (1986–1997) from the network of Italian cancer registries. Eur J Cancer Prev 4:287–295
Firket J (1955) Frequency, etiological factors and geographical distribution of lung cancer. Rev Med Liege 1:3–12
Weiderpass E, Pukkala E (2006) Time trends in socioeconomic differences in incidence rates of cancers of gastro-intestinal tract in Finland. BMC Gastroenterol 6:41
Lu SN, Su WW, Yang SS et al (2006) Secular trends and geographic variations of hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma in Taiwan. Int J Cancer 8:1946–1952
Statistical Bureau of Tianjin (1986–2001) Yearbooks of Tianjin in 1985–2000. Beijing: China Statistical Press
Ji J, Couto E, Hemminki K (2005) Incidence differences for gallbladder cancer between occupational groups suggest an etiological role for alcohol. Int J Cancer 3:492–493
Tsugane S (2004) Dietary factor and cancer risk–evidence from epidemiological studies. Gan To Kagaku Ryoho 6:847–852
Palmer S (1985) Diet, nutrition, and cancer. Prog Food Nutr Sci 3–4:283–341
Gonzalez CA (2006) Nutrition and cancer: the current epidemiological evidence. Br J Nutr 96:42S–45S
Koo LC, Mang OW, Ho JH (1997) An ecological study of trends in cancer incidence and dietary changes in Hong Kong. Nutr Cancer 3:289–301
Wu Y, Zhou B (2002) The current status and future trend of adult overweight and obesity in China. Zhong Hua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi 1:11–15
Rodriguez C, Calle EE, Fakhrabadi-Shokoohi D et al (2002) Body mass index, height, and the risk of ovarian cancer mortality in a prospective cohort of postmenopausal women. Cancer Epidem Biomar 9:822–828
Franceschi S, Favero A, La Vecchia C et al (1996) Body size indices and breast cancer risk before and after menopause. Int J Cancer 2:181–186
Lukanova A, Bjor O, Kaaks R et al (2006) Body mass index and cancer: results from the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Cohort. Int J Cancer 2:458–466
Chen KX, Wang PP, Sun BC et al (2006) Twenty-year secular changes in sex specific lung cancer incidence rates in an urban Chinese population. Lung Cancer 51:13–19
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Department of Health of Tianjin. The authors thank all the colleagues in the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics of the Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital and Institute for their contribution to this study and the Tianjin Central Disease Control for the contributions in data collection. The authors also thank Ms. Beth Notzon of Department of Scientific Publications of The University of Texas M. D. Anderson for her editorial assistance.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Song, F., He, M., Li, H. et al. A cancer incidence survey in Tianjin: the third largest city in China—between 1981 and 2000. Cancer Causes Control 19, 443–450 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-007-9105-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10552-007-9105-6