General Obstetrics and Gynecology: Obstetrics
Development of a clinical prediction rule for iron deficiency anemia in pregnancy

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Objective

The purpose of this study was to elucidate if anemia in pregnancy caused by iron deficiency could be predicted by simple measures obtained on a complete blood count (CBC) using ferritin as the gold standard.

Study design

One hundred forty-one pregnant patients with anemia were recruited during their first prenatal visit. CBC and ferritin level were obtained and candidate-predictors identified. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, stratified analysis, and logistic regression analysis were used to develop a prediction rule with maximum specificity.

Results

A hemoglobin level ≤9.7 and a red cell distribution width (RDW) ≥15 (in gestational age <20 weeks) predicted iron deficiency with high specificity. Our final model correctly classified 79.43% of the patients (area under the ROC curve of 0.88 [95%CI 0.82–0.93], specificity of 95.74%).

Conclusion

Iron deficiency anemia can be predicted in pregnancy using lower cost tests, which could be an incredibly useful tool in areas with limited resources and a high prevalence of the disease. This study was limited to a mostly African American population in an urban setting, and the results may not be generalized to other populations.

Section snippets

Material and methods

The study population included all patients who visited the resident's clinic at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania (HUP) for first prenatal visit between October of 2002 and April of 2003. These patients were asked for their written consent to participate in our study. The written consent was obtained before screening for anemia, and from all patients who came to the resident's clinic. This study was approved by the hospital's Institutional Review Board (IRB). Our sample size was

Results

The mean hemoglobin level of the subjects included in our final cohort was 10.1 mg/dL (SD=0.8). Forty-seven subjects of our total cohort were considered iron deficient (33.3%), and 94 (66.7%) non-iron deficient, based on the level of ferritin. The characteristics of our final cohort are depicted in Table I. For 23.4% of our patients (n = 33), this was their first gestation. Likewise, 29.8% of our patients (n = 42) did not have a previous delivery (term or preterm). The mean age of our overall

Comment

Given the high prevalence of IDA in pregnancy, and the fact that it is customary in many parts of the world to treat empirically pregnant anemic patients with iron supplements, our study did not focus on achieving the most sensitivity, but was designed to reach maximum specificity for diagnosing IDA using easily collected and measured parameters obtained on a CBC. We found 2 useful candidate predictors for iron deficiency anemia in pregnancy, a RDW ≥15 and a Hb <9.7 mg/dL. Although a level of

Acknowledgments

This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania on August 25, 2002, Protocol #706618. Dr Casanova was supported by an Award from the National Institutes of Health funded by the Fogarty International Center and The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), grant # D43-TW01272. Dr Macones is supported by a Mid-Career Award in Patient Oriented Research from NICHD, grant # K24 HD01289. The authors would like

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    Moreover, few data concern southern European countries, in which a high frequency of genetic disorders may be a confounding factor in assessment of the prevalence of iron deficiency anemia, when based only on determination of hemoglobin concentration [16]. The use of ferritin as the gold standard for iron stores examination has been extensively studied in the last decades, and in today's practice it is still considered the gold standard [28]. In women, medians of serum ferritin levels vary according to country, from 24 to 35 μg/l, corresponding to true levels of iron stores of 240 to 350 mg [29].

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Financial support: in-house funds.

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