Elsevier

The Journal of Pediatrics

Volume 156, Issue 4, April 2010, Pages 580-585.e1
The Journal of Pediatrics

Original Article
Predicting Liver Failure in Parenteral Nutrition-Dependent Short Bowel Syndrome of Infancy

Portions of this work were presented at the X International Small Bowel Transplant Symposium, Sep 5 to 8, 2007, Santa Monica, CA. The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpeds.2009.11.002Get rights and content

Objectives

To test the hypothesis that early trends in common blood tests may delineate risks of liver failure (LF) in infants with parenteral nutrition-associated liver disease (PNALD) from short bowel syndrome and suggest criteria for transplant referral.

Study design

Total levels of bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, albumin, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, and absolute neutrophil count were recorded every 3 months for 61 infants with PNALD who were being considered for intestinal transplant starting at age 3 months until death without transplant (n = 12), LF with transplant (n = 35), or liver recovery without transplant (n = 14). Probabilities of LF were determined with logistic regression.

Results

Independent predictors of LF were, in descending order, total bilirubin level (odds ratio [OR] = 1.195), platelet count (OR = 0.992), and albumin level (OR = 0.248). Predicted probabilities of eventual LF varied from 36% to 38% at ages 3 to 6 months when the total bilirubin level was 6.0 mg/dL, platelet count was 220 x 103/μL, and albumin level was 3.5 g/dL to 83% to 84% when the total bilirubin level was 11.7 mg/dL, platelet count was 168 x 103/μL, and albumin level was 3.0 g/dL.

Conclusions

Transplant referral for a total bilirubin level of 6 mg/dL between 3 to 6 months of age is appropriate, because the probability of LF is at least 36%.

Section snippets

Methods

A total of 84 patients with SBS, defined as a minimum PN requirement of 6 weeks after resection, and cholestasis2 were examined between August 2003 and December 2007. Of these 84 patients, 61 in whom designated demographic and laboratory data could be collected were included in the investigation. Frequent multiple caregivers at multiple institutions before referral was the usual explanation for inadequate information leading to exclusion of patients, most of whom were in advanced LF at the time

Demographic and Anatomical Comparison of the LR and LF Groups

Of the 61 subjects, LF developed in 47; the remaining 14 patients later experienced hepatic recovery. As noted in Table I, the average age at initial examination of the 47 patients in whom LF developed was approximately 6 months; 41 of these patients (87%) were referred by other institutions. In contrast, 8 of 14 patients (57%) who experienced LR were referred from other institutions (P < .01, χ2 test) and were on average approximately half the age of the other patients. No patient referred

Discussion

Reports from several intestinal transplant centers have described the frequently advanced character of PNALD in pediatric patients at presentation, resulting in high mortality rates before transplantation can be attempted.13, 14, 15 One factor contributing to late referral is a lack of detailed information on the natural history of PNALD. In this study, we sought to ascertain whether delineation of trends in laboratory abnormalities, particularly at an early stage of the disease, might be more

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