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Computer modelling of influenza epidemics for the whole country (USSR)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

O. V. Baroyan
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
L. A. Rvachev
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
U. V. Basilevsky
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
V. V. Ermakov
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
K. D. Frank
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
M. A. Rvachev
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow
V. A. Shashkov
Affiliation:
The Gamaleja Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Moscow

Extract

Influenza epidemics at a city or country level can be observed only through a daily officially registered morbidity, or briefly DORM. The influenza model for any country is defined as some set of equations containing the DORM for cities in that country as unknown functions of time, these being designed to approximate the cities' real DORM.

Type
IV. Computer Modelling and Simulation of Epidemics
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1971 

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References

Rvachev, L. A. (1968) Modelling experiment of a large-scale epidemic by means of a computer. Trans. USSR Acad. Sci. Ser. Mathematics and Physics. 180, 2, 294296. In Russian.Google Scholar